News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / August 18, 2014
Housing starts numbers out today surprised many observers with its strength (+15.7%), but we find it to have been in line with our actual counts, released earlier this month. As we predicted, last month’s Census estimate was revised upward, and now the numbers are back in line with the trends revealed by the Metrostudy roll-ups.
The last release of housing starts data from the Census Bureau caused undue alarm about a collapse of activity in the South. The Census release had shown a 29.6% decline for total starts in the South, but as we pointed out at the time, this exaggerated the weakness inRead More
Metrostudy Releases Q2 2014 Residential Remodeling Index (RRI) — Remodeling and Replacement Activity Posts Moderate Gains Through 2Q 2014, But Forecast Firms
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / August 2014
For Immediate Release
WASHINGTON, D.C. (August 15, 2014) Metrostudy, a Hanley Wood company, announced today the release of its Second Quarter 2014 Residential Remodeling Index (RRI) detailing activity in the remodeling and replacement industry.
The index gained 4.3% in the second quarter, year-over-year, which follows a 6.5% year-over-year increase in the first quarter. Despite the moderation in growth rate, the RRI has posted ten consecutive quarterly improvements and eight consecutive year-over-year increases since the market bottomed at the end of 2011.
The slower growth paceRead More
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / August 11, 2014
We have been talking for years about the lot shortages that builders are facing. Now, it’s time to talk about how many lots are being developed. Builders and developers are now playing “catch-up,” with builders buying land and lots and developers/investors paving roads and putting in infrastructure to serve the builders’ needs at a frenetic pace.
The pace of lot delivery (completion, ready for the builder) has gone up 140% in the past two years, much faster than the pace of housing production has risen (+84%). Despite this increased pace, lot development STILL lags the pace ofRead More
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / August 6, 2014
The government release on housing starts for June showed a sharp decline, concentrated in what the Census Bureau defines as “The South.” Single-family starts were down in June by 9.0% from the previous month, and down 4.3% from twelve months earlier. Within that number, almost all the decline was in the South, down 20.1% versus the previous month and down 14.5% versus a year ago.
Rumors of the South’s demise are greatly exaggerated.Read More
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / July 24, 2014
New home sales data from the Census Bureau showed a drop of 8.1% on a seasonally-adjusted basis. The decline since the beginning of the year comes to 11%.
The northeastern U.S. markets slowed sharply.
In June, and so far in July, we are back to a situation where home shoppers are shopping but a relatively small proportion of them are actually buying. This is explained in some cases by a long lead time (people taking longer to make a decision), and in other cases by a complete reluctance to buy.
Here is a look at the last year in New Home Sales by region showing sales have decreased slightly over theRead More