News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Rocio Sanchez-Moyano / Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies / September 26, 2013
With the continued growth of house prices across the country, talk of a housing bubble is beginning to reappear in the headlines. House price-to-income ratios are often used to indicate a bubble, as prices have historically had a relatively stable relationship with incomes (both mean and median). In the US, nationally, the price-to-income ratio remained relatively stable throughout the 1990s. It began to increase around 2000 and surpassed its long-run average of 3.65 by 2002 (Figure 1). The national price-to-income ratio continued to increase in the mid-2000s, reaching a high ofRead More
Jonathan Smoke / Hanley Wood / September 20, 2013
Earlier this week the National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales were up in August over July when most economists were expecting a decline. Instead, the pace of sales in August was at the highest level since February 2007. Let me make one more important historical comparison. If we exclude 2002-2006 from our data set because of the abnormal level of activity in the heart of the housing boom, there have only been 5 other months in history (going back to 1968) that existing single-family home sales have been higher: January and February 2007, August and December 2001,Read More
Morgan Brennan / Forbes / July 26, 2013
The U.S. housing recovery continues to make gains. New home sales have surged 38% since last year, hitting a five-year high in June, according to the newest figures from the Commerce Department. And despite a monthly drop in activity, sales of previously owned homes remain 15% higher than last year as well, according to the National Association of Realtors.
If housing in the first six months of 2013 could be summed up in one sentence, it would go something like this: Inventory is painfully tight, sales activity is surging and home prices have jumping.
Now real estate experts are sounding off onRead More
Ruth Mantell / MarketWatch / July 22, 2013
Tight inventory, pent-up demand and investors supporting demand
Despite large gains over the past year, home prices in cities across the U.S. remain below peak levels, according to data from the widely followed S&P/Case-Shiller report.
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — As home prices rise, so are concerns that a new housing-market bubble may be appearing, particularly in cities with double-digit annual growth rates.
Are there red flags in recent data?
“I wouldn’t say that we have bubbles today. But if prices keep rising at these rates, pretty soon you will be in bubble territory,”Read More
J.W. Colvin IV / Metrostudy / May 29, 2013
I recently read an article in a local business paper that had an eye catching front page headline,“Another Housing Bubble?” I admit I read the article the first time with a bias, but then I wanted to stack up the facts and see where we were at. The article highlights two different points of view. One view was from a couple of industry watchers and the other from a new home buyer in the market. Among the industry watchers there was some skepticism based on population growth and a little disbelief at how quickly ‘speculative’ home building has rebounded, but the home buyer was exasperated becauseRead More