News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Michael Neal / NAHB / August 22, 2013
Nationally, house prices continued to rise in the second quarter of 2013. According to the most recent release by the Federal Housing Finance Agency, U.S. house prices rose by 2.1% on a quarter-over-quarter seasonally adjusted basis. This is the eighth consecutive quarterly increase for the House Price Index – Purchase Only. Over the past two years house prices have climbed by 8.1%.
On a month-over-month basis, the June increase in house prices were geographically widespread, increasing in every division of the country. As Chart 1 illustrates, the largest gains took place in the PacificRead More
Greig O'Brien / ARCHITECT / August 21, 2013
The AIA’s Architecture Billings Index for July is firing on all cylinders.
The Architecture Billings Index for July, released today by the American Institute of Architects, shows that the market for design and construction services continues its steady and sustained recovery. With a national billings score of 52.7, more than a full point higher than June’s 51.6, demand for architectural services picked up even more steam last month. (Being an index, any score over 50 means that demand increased, and any score under 50 means that the industry contracted.) Except for one small bump in theRead More
Madison Inselmann / Metrostudy / August 20, 2013
Forbes magazine recently released an infographic showing the top markets for expected job growth in the coming years. As has been the case for about eighteen months now, Texas continues to lead the way. The fact that Texas owns 7 of the top 10 spots is no surprise considering the energy boom that took off during the recession as well as the housing recovery that began about a year ahead of the nation’s residential return. This expected growth is encouraging for the local markets involved. Interest rates have shaken some of the consumer confidence that took so long to manufacture, evenRead More
Tony Polito / Metrostudy / August 16, 2013
News reports, homebuilder stock prices and economists in general have shown concern over the spike in interest rates from early May to today. While this should not have been a surprise based on comments from Fed Chairman Bernanke last year that all good things come to an end (Fed stimulus), the sky is falling comments from some in the media is concerning. Let’s look at the facts: the Market Composite Index is running near the 23 year average; the Refinance Index is still running above the 23 year average; however, the Purchase Composite Index is running only about 75% of average. Low interestRead More
Peter Goldstone, CEO / Hanley Wood / August 14, 2013
I was speaking with Metrostudy chief economist Brad Hunter at a recent company gathering, and he told me a story that brought the housing bubble into perspective. He said that during the bubble years of 2002-2005, demand was “illusory” because many builders, developers and lenders had no idea how many homes being sold (even in their own projects) were being bought by people who had no intention of ever living in the homes.
Now imagine if builders, developers and lenders had paid closer attention to their data. Would they have continued to build and lend at a break-neck pace? As the negativeRead More