News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Jonathan Smoke / Hanley Wood / September 20, 2013
Earlier this week the National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales were up in August over July when most economists were expecting a decline. Instead, the pace of sales in August was at the highest level since February 2007. Let me make one more important historical comparison. If we exclude 2002-2006 from our data set because of the abnormal level of activity in the heart of the housing boom, there have only been 5 other months in history (going back to 1968) that existing single-family home sales have been higher: January and February 2007, August and December 2001,Read More
Stephen Melman / NAHB / September 19, 2013
Existing home sales increased 1.7% in August, and were up 13.2% from the same period a year ago to the highest level since February 2007. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that August 2013 total existing home sales were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.48 million units combined for single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops. That compares to 5.39 million units in July, and 4.84 million units during the same period a year ago. The South and Midwest increased 3.8% and 3.1% respectively, while the Northeast remained flat and the West decreased 2.3% from last month.Read More
Comments on Existing Home Sales: Too early to see impact of higher mortgage rates, Inventory has Bottomed
Bill McBride / Calculated Risk / August 21, 2013
First, the headline sales number was no surprise (see Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in July).
Second, the strong sales rate in July is not a sign that higher mortgage rates have had no impact on sales. The NAR reports CLOSED sales, and the usual escrow period is 45 to 60 days. Mortgage rates didn’t start increasing sharply until the 2nd half of May (see Freddie Mac Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey®), so buyers could have locked in rates in May – and pushed to close in July. My guess is sales will be down in August reflecting higher mortgage rates.
The key number inRead More
Stephen Melman / NAHB / July 22, 2013
Existing home sales decreased 1.2% in June, but were up 15.2% from the same period a year ago. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that June 2013 total existing home sales were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.08 million units combined for single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops. That compares to a downwardly revised 5.14 million units in May, and 4.41 million units during the same period a year ago. The Midwest reported the same sales level as the previous month, and the other three regions decreased slightly. All regions were up from a year ago: 17.5% in theRead More
Nick Timiraos / The Wall Street Journal / July 22, 2013
Sales of previously owned homes rose by 15.2% in June from one year ago to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.08 million, but they were down by 1.2% from one month ago, according to the National Association of Realtors.
Monday’s report showed that the housing market may be slowly returning to equilibrium after a year in which demand has outstripped supply, pushing up prices. At the current pace of sales, there was a five-month supply of homes in June on a seasonally adjusted basis, up from the 4.9-month supply in May but down from the 6.1-month supply a year earlier.
Did higher interest ratesRead More