News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
David Crowe / Eye on Housing/ October 2, 2014
New home sales rebounded in August, increasing 18% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 504,000, according to estimates from the Census Bureau and HUD. These gains were atop upward revisions for the July pace. The August rate is 33% higher than August 2013 and is a solid indication of the ongoing recovery in the single-family market.
The inventory of new single-family homes inched up to 206,000 on a non-seasonally adjusted basis in August. Of this total, only 48,000 were completed, ready-to-occupy residences. In terms of months’ supply, the inventory of new single-family sales fellRead More
Reuters / June 23, 2014
U.S. home resales rose more than expected in May and the stock of properties for sale was the highest in more than 1-1/2 years, suggesting that housing was pulling out of a recent slump.
The National Association of Realtors said on Monday existing home sales increased 4.9 percent to an annual rate of 4.89 million units. May’s increase was the largest since August 2011.Read More
Frank Anton / BUILDER / April 10, 2014
Yes, I know all about the polar vortex and the bad weather that’s gripped virtually the whole country for so long, but does a prolonged cold snap really explain what is, by all reports, a sluggish start to the so-called spring selling season?
I don’t think so.
Especially when you consider that the stock market is hovering around an all-time high, thereby creating a wealth effect and buoying consumer confidence. There’s absolutely no evidence that attitudes about homeownership have changed. The employment picture isn’t too bad. We’ve added about 200,000Read More
David Crowe / NAHB / September 6, 2013
The long and deep housing recession left many homeowners remaining in place and potential first time home buyers continuing to rent or stay with parents or friends.
In a recent article, NAHB’s Heather Taylor reported the number and distribution of first time and repeat movers in American Housing Survey odd numbered years 2001 through 2011. The AHS reports 10 million purchased in the two years prior to the 2001 survey but home buying declined to 6.8 million households who purchased a home in the two years prior to the 2011 survey. Between 2001 and 2011, the population of individuals who couldRead More
Comments on Existing Home Sales: Too early to see impact of higher mortgage rates, Inventory has Bottomed
Bill McBride / Calculated Risk / August 21, 2013
First, the headline sales number was no surprise (see Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in July).
Second, the strong sales rate in July is not a sign that higher mortgage rates have had no impact on sales. The NAR reports CLOSED sales, and the usual escrow period is 45 to 60 days. Mortgage rates didn’t start increasing sharply until the 2nd half of May (see Freddie Mac Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey®), so buyers could have locked in rates in May – and pushed to close in July. My guess is sales will be down in August reflecting higher mortgage rates.
The key number inRead More