News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
NAHB Eye on Housing / June 17, 2014
Census and HUD reported a decline in May housing starts and permits, but the headline numbers do not tell the whole story. First, the driver in the declines in both starts and permits was multifamily apartment construction, which was down to 376,000 starts (-7.6%) and to 372,000 permits (-19.5%). But the three-month moving average for multifamily starts is still the best since February 2006 and the decline is more the result of an extraordinarily high April. The same trend was evident in the multifamily permits, which adjusted downward after scoring a seven year high in April.
Second, single-familyRead More
NAHB / May 13, 2014Read More
Jonathan Smoke / Hanley Wood / March 1, 2014
The first read of January new home sales from the Commerce Department was released last week. Economists had been expecting a decline of 3-4 percent from December on a seasonally adjusted basis, but instead a 10 percent increase was reported. That decline stood out compared to the existing home sales January report last week. Looking at the new data, Metrostudy’s more detailed traffic and sales data, and recent survey data on consumers’ plans to buy a home, we continue to expect that we will see a positive bounce once winter ends and the spring selling season begins in earnest.
Eye on Housing / NAHB / November 14, 2013
Strengthening house prices and increased interest rates in metros across the country contributed to lower housing affordability in the third quarter, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI).
In all, 64.5 percent of new and existing homes sold between the beginning of July and end of September were affordable to families earning the U.S. median income of $64,400. This is down from the 69.3 percent of homes sold that were affordable to median-income earners in the second quarter, and the biggest HOI decline since the second quarterRead More
Nick Timiraos / The Wall Street Journal / October 1, 2013
Fear that the housing market’s recovery is stalling has been overdone, say economists at Goldman Sachs in a new report.
The paper — entitled “Where is the pent-up housing demand?” — suggests that housing demand among the young has been suppressed due to cyclical issues not structural ones.
Homeownership hasn’t fallen out of favor and student-debt levels aren’t the main culprits for lower housing demand among young buyers, write economists Hui Shan and Eli Hackel. Instead, they suggest that the economic downturn is most responsible for muted homeownership gains among youngerRead More