News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Jonathan Smoke / Hanley Wood / March 1, 2014
The first read of January new home sales from the Commerce Department was released last week. Economists had been expecting a decline of 3-4 percent from December on a seasonally adjusted basis, but instead a 10 percent increase was reported. That decline stood out compared to the existing home sales January report last week. Looking at the new data, Metrostudy’s more detailed traffic and sales data, and recent survey data on consumers’ plans to buy a home, we continue to expect that we will see a positive bounce once winter ends and the spring selling season begins in earnest.
Eye on Housing / NAHB / November 14, 2013
Strengthening house prices and increased interest rates in metros across the country contributed to lower housing affordability in the third quarter, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI).
In all, 64.5 percent of new and existing homes sold between the beginning of July and end of September were affordable to families earning the U.S. median income of $64,400. This is down from the 69.3 percent of homes sold that were affordable to median-income earners in the second quarter, and the biggest HOI decline since the second quarterRead More
Nick Timiraos / The Wall Street Journal / October 1, 2013
Fear that the housing market’s recovery is stalling has been overdone, say economists at Goldman Sachs in a new report.
The paper — entitled “Where is the pent-up housing demand?” — suggests that housing demand among the young has been suppressed due to cyclical issues not structural ones.
Homeownership hasn’t fallen out of favor and student-debt levels aren’t the main culprits for lower housing demand among young buyers, write economists Hui Shan and Eli Hackel. Instead, they suggest that the economic downturn is most responsible for muted homeownership gains among youngerRead More
Charlotte O'Malley / BUILDER / September 30, 2013
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According to Metrostudy’s active new home survey data, the five fastest-growing metros have experienced over 10,000 new home starts. As Metrostudy points out in their blogpost “A Housing Dimension to Forbes’ Recent Projection,” it’s noteworthy that the top three markets experiencing new home growth are included in a recent Forbes article listing top markets for expected job growth annually. Here are the markets that overlap:Read More
NAHB / August 27, 2013
According to the Current Population Survey (CPS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau in 2012, 35.3 million individuals moved within the United States. This increase in moves is an important component of pent-up housing demand.
An individual is classified as a mover if the place of residence at the March survey differs from the place of residence one year earlier. In 2012, nearly 12 out of every 100 Americans moved. The share of the population that moved within the U.S. increased from 11.3% to approximately 11.6%. The 2012 estimate represents an increase of nearly four percent or 1.3 million moreRead More