News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Bad Hunter / Metrostudy / July 17, 2014
Housing starts for June SURPRISED on the downside! Jobs are better, and builders seem more confident, yet the June number was down 9.3% month-over-month (9.0% for single-family detached).
My forecast for 2014, just revised to account for the latest data, is for a 9% increase in total home starts (annual total for 2014 versus annual total for 2013), and for a 6% increase in single-family construction.Read More
David Crowe / Eye on Housing / July 10, 2014
Housing news continued to improve as pending home sales surged following a slow first quarter. Home prices also continued to move higher but at a more moderate pace, suggesting the extra push caused by investors may be slowing. Economic news, however, was mixed. Consumer confidence increased in response to improving labor market conditions. On the other hand, new estimates from the first quarter revealed a steeper decline in real GDP. Early indications are that real GDP will reverse course from a dismal first quarter and gains in housing will continue the pace set before the end of 2013.
Eye on Housing / June 30, 2014
Pending home sales in May posted the largest monthly increase since the expiration of the first-time home buyer tax credit in April 2010. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a forward-looking indicator based on signed contracts reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), increased 6.1% in May to 103.9 from an upwardly revised April level of 97.9. It is important to note that the May reading was down 5.2% on a year-over-year basis.Read More
Shelley D. Hutchins / Builder / June 30, 2014
Higher mortgage rates and a harsh winter slowed down single-family housing starts and sales in the past year. The lack of for-sale homes, both new and existing, is driving prices up, which has resulted in many homeowners gaining needed equity and reduced delinquency rates. However, the number of distressed houses is still high. According to experts from Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing Studies (JCHS), who discussed these topics and more in a live webcast presenting the annual State of the Nation’s Housing report, millennials, minority households, baby boomers, and relaxed creditRead More
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / June 17, 2014
New housing starts data from Census just came out, showing both single-family and multifamily DOWN. Single-family starts fell 5.9% (plus or minus 12.7%) in May compared with April, according to Census. They revised downward their crazy (high) estimate for multifamily (thank goodness we didn’t build that many apartments). The number is still up 9.4% over last May.
To steal a title from Douglas Adams (Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy): Don’t Panic. Don’t panic about the drop in single-family; looking past the monthly noise, the trend is still upward.Read More