News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Jonathan Smoke / Hanley Wood / September 18, 2013
The initial read on August permits and starts showed no evidence of single family construction being derailed by the increase in mortgage rates since May. Permits, which lead starts, were at a total level in line with most economists’ expectations. Single family permits were at the highest seasonally adjusted rate since May 2008. While the total starts number was down, the decline was caused by declines in the more volatile multi-family sector, and in fact single family starts were up 7% in August over July.
We work with more detailed market level permit data from the Census and fromRead More
Scott Cendrowski / Fortune/CNN Money / September 16, 2013
FORTUNE — What a difference a year makes. Last summer, when Fortune recommended homebuilder stocks, the chorus of dissenters was loud — and to some, persuasive. Their argument went something like this: “Homebuilders are doomed! Foreclosures are flooding the market and besides, no one wants to a buy a new home. They’ll rent forever!”
What happened next? Homebuilder stocks went on a tear. From last July through its peak this May, the S&P homebuilders index rose by 51%, more than doubling the S&P 500′s return. PulteGroup shares, as one example,Read More
Nick Timiraos / The Wall Street Journal / September 12, 2013
Housing inventories increased in August and stood just 2.5% below their levels of a year ago, offering the latest sign that more sellers are testing the market after swift home-price gains over the past year.
Nationally, there were 1.98 million homes listed for sale in August, according to a report released Thursday by Realtor.com. That was up by more than 24% from the low point in February and up 1% from July. Inventories have increased for six straight months.
While the overall level of homes for sale remains relatively depressed, the report suggests that inventory may have hit a bottom earlierRead More
Caroline Baum / Bloomberg / August 28, 2013
Hissss! That’s the sound of the air coming out of the housing market. At least that’s what some folks thought they heard when the U.S. Census Bureau reported a 13.4 percent dive in new home sales in July, the biggest decline in more than three years and one that coincided with a sharp increase in mortgage rates.
Don’t start writing housing’s obituary just yet. First, the residential real-estate market just got going. Only in the last two years has residential investment contributed in any significant way to economic growth. It has to make up for lost time.
Second, what might look like a lackRead More
Morgan Brennan / Forbes / August 27, 2013
Home prices continued their upward march in June, if at a slightly slower pace.
U.S single-family home prices in 20 metropolitan areas rose a seasonally-adjusted 0.9% in June from a month earlier, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, after rising 1% in May.
The gain puts home prices 12.1% higher than they were a year ago, as all 20 metro areas welcomed price increases on both a monthly and annual basis, led by Las Vegas (24.9%) and San Francisco (24.5%). S&P/ Case-Shiller’s 20-city composite index also posted a 7.1% increase in the second quarter and a 10.1% increaseRead More