News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Robert Dietz / Eye on Housing / November 19, 2014
The average size of newly built single-family homes has declined for two consecutive quarters as the overall housing market recovers. Despite the recent leveling, current new home sizes reflect post-recession increases due to an atypical mix of home buyers. As more first-time buyers return to the market, typical home size will continue to post slight quarterly declines. According to third quarter 2014 data from the Census Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design and NAHB analysis,Read More
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / November 19, 2014
Taken in total, the housing starts data paint a picture of boring, flat, lackluster performance in 2014. Dig deeper into the data, however, and you see a much more dynamic picture. The year is not over yet, but from the data we have collected first-hand, on nearly 100 metropolitan statistical areas in the country, we see markets ranging from a 21% decline in the past four quarters to a 45.8% increase!
Let’s look at a few of the stand-outs. The data below indicate the percentage change in single-family detached starts from 3Q13 through 3Q14.
In Southwest Florida, the Naples/Ft. Myers market’sRead More
Metrostudy does a 100% count within markets across the country of move-ins into newly-built homes. This is a powerful and reliable measure of end-user demand. The top two markets have outsized percentage changes because they are starting from a low base number. In terms of the large markets, Central Florida has seen a 24.3% increase in new home demand in the past year, and Charlotte, NC, has seen a 23.4%. Atlanta, which was savaged by the downturn, has seen a 22.9% increase. New home construction is picking up in all of these markets, as builders scramble to meet increased demand.Read More
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / August 11, 2014
We have been talking for years about the lot shortages that builders are facing. Now, it’s time to talk about how many lots are being developed. Builders and developers are now playing “catch-up,” with builders buying land and lots and developers/investors paving roads and putting in infrastructure to serve the builders’ needs at a frenetic pace.
The pace of lot delivery (completion, ready for the builder) has gone up 140% in the past two years, much faster than the pace of housing production has risen (+84%). Despite this increased pace, lot development STILL lags the pace ofRead More
Brad Hunter / Metrostudy / August 6, 2014
The government release on housing starts for June showed a sharp decline, concentrated in what the Census Bureau defines as “The South.” Single-family starts were down in June by 9.0% from the previous month, and down 4.3% from twelve months earlier. Within that number, almost all the decline was in the South, down 20.1% versus the previous month and down 14.5% versus a year ago.
Rumors of the South’s demise are greatly exaggerated.Read More