News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Jonathan Smoke / Hanley Wood / March 1, 2014
The first read of January new home sales from the Commerce Department was released last week. Economists had been expecting a decline of 3-4 percent from December on a seasonally adjusted basis, but instead a 10 percent increase was reported. That decline stood out compared to the existing home sales January report last week. Looking at the new data, Metrostudy’s more detailed traffic and sales data, and recent survey data on consumers’ plans to buy a home, we continue to expect that we will see a positive bounce once winter ends and the spring selling season begins in earnest.
John McManus / BUILDER magazine / December 11, 2013
Toll Brothers net income for Q4 was just shy of a nice round $100 million. It’s full fiscal year and fourth quarter earnings release blasted this morning to a chorus of kudos from home building company equity analysts. Here’s the link to Wall Street Journal staffer Ben Fox Rubin’s take on the earnings report (paywall).
Our preliminary take-away is this. Toll Brothers management and team held a clinic on how to manage their enterprise, given the opportunities that surfaced early last year and crescendoed this past Spring. It’s an organization that knowsRead More
Metrostudy News / November 12, 2013
2013 marches on with continued optimism, albeit perhaps slightly more cautiously so than in quarters past, according to a recent report by Metrostudy, a national housing data and consulting firm that maintains the most extensive primary database on residential construction in the US housing market.
Northern California Annual Housing starts are UP 62% from 3Q12, while closings are UP 45%. Quarterly new home closings are UP 27% from 3Q12. The annual start pace is at the highest level since 2Q08 and the annual closing rate is nearly as high as 3Q10. Closings have been outpacing starts forRead More
Robert Dietz / NAHB / September 23, 2013
While the sources of finance for new home sales have changed noticeably since the start of the Great Recession, cash sales remain more common for existing homes compared to new construction.
According to data from the Census Bureau’s Quarterly Sales by Price and Financing, the onset of the housing crisis in 2007 led to a decline in the share of new home sales due to conventional mortgage financing and increases in the shares due to mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) and the Department of Veteran’s Affairs (VA), as well as cash purchases.
For the second quarterRead More
David Crowe / NAHB / August 29, 2013
New home sales have shifted from purchasing completed homes in inventory to purchasing homes still under construction and even homes not-yet-started. The shift is a product of several trends.
Eight-in-ten new home buyers already own a home and have often refined their choices to the point where the current inventory does not fit their needs. A completed home does not allow for individual choices in upgrades, finishes and colors.
Builders slowed starting new homes and sold inventory to reduce their overhead, often at the lender’s insistence. As a result, the number of for sale completedRead More