News & Opinions
The latest news and insights from Hanley Wood’s outspoken experts and key thought-leaders throughout the residential and commercial design and construction industry.
Eye on Housing Blog / NAHB / March 25, 2014
Census and HUD reported February new home sales were down 3.3% from January but the average of the two months was virtually unchanged from the fourth quarter average sales at 447,000. The February seasonally-adjusted annual rate was reported at 440,000 and the January figure was revised downward from 468,000 to 455,000. Considering the rough and unusual weather patterns through a good portion of the country, holding steady in January and February is as good as you could expect.
The inventory of for-sale new homes continues to rise as builders foresee a robust spring selling season. InventoriesRead More
Jonathan Smoke / HW.com / March 26, 2014
The first read of February new home sales from the Commerce Department was released this week. Economists had been expecting a decline of 5 percent from January on a seasonally adjusted basis, but instead a non-statistically significant 3.3 percent decrease was reported. Remember that last week we saw existing home sales decline moderately in aggregate but the mix of what is being sold was much better. Looking at the new data along with Metrostudy’s more detailed traffic and sales data and recent survey data on consumers’ plans to buy a home, we continue to see encouraging signs thatRead More
Jonathan Smoke / Hanley Wood / March 1, 2014
The first read of January new home sales from the Commerce Department was released last week. Economists had been expecting a decline of 3-4 percent from December on a seasonally adjusted basis, but instead a 10 percent increase was reported. That decline stood out compared to the existing home sales January report last week. Looking at the new data, Metrostudy’s more detailed traffic and sales data, and recent survey data on consumers’ plans to buy a home, we continue to expect that we will see a positive bounce once winter ends and the spring selling season begins in earnest.
John McManus / BUILDER magazine / December 11, 2013
Toll Brothers net income for Q4 was just shy of a nice round $100 million. It’s full fiscal year and fourth quarter earnings release blasted this morning to a chorus of kudos from home building company equity analysts. Here’s the link to Wall Street Journal staffer Ben Fox Rubin’s take on the earnings report (paywall).
Our preliminary take-away is this. Toll Brothers management and team held a clinic on how to manage their enterprise, given the opportunities that surfaced early last year and crescendoed this past Spring. It’s an organization that knowsRead More
Metrostudy News / November 12, 2013
2013 marches on with continued optimism, albeit perhaps slightly more cautiously so than in quarters past, according to a recent report by Metrostudy, a national housing data and consulting firm that maintains the most extensive primary database on residential construction in the US housing market.
Northern California Annual Housing starts are UP 62% from 3Q12, while closings are UP 45%. Quarterly new home closings are UP 27% from 3Q12. The annual start pace is at the highest level since 2Q08 and the annual closing rate is nearly as high as 3Q10. Closings have been outpacing starts forRead More